Remarks
by Tony Comper, Chairman and CEO, BMO Financial Group, at CIBC World
Markets Frontenac Institutional Investor Conference
Québec,
QC. September 18, 2003
(Please
check against delivery)
Title
Slide
Thanks
Quentin, and good morning everyone.
Slide
1 - Consistent, Focused Strategy Yielding Significant Benefits
Last
month, BMO Financial Group announced excellent third quarter results,
including a 46 per cent increase in net income year-over-year and a
return on equity of 18 per cent, up 510 basis points.
Over
the past four years we have substantially changed the senior management
team, and the new team has made some tough choices to position BMO for
a more profitable future. Our revenue stream took some early hits as
we shifted our overall business mix in favor of high return high potential
businesses.
Now,
financial results demonstrate that our tough choices and our consistent,
focused growth strategy are starting to yield significant benefits.
With rising performance across all three operating groups, we’re gaining
momentum.
Slide
2 - Focused Canada-U.S. Growth Strategy
Our
goal is to be a top-tier North American bank in terms of financial performance,
and we will achieve this goal through continued execution of our focused
Canada-U.S. growth strategy.
This
means investing in our Canadian franchise — the foundation of this enterprise
— to build on BMO’s strength in Canada, while at the same time growing
and expanding in some of the most lucrative markets in the United States
to strengthen our solid Harris franchise.
As
a reminder, the U.S. franchise encompasses:
-
a
strong asset base of 76 billion dollars;
-
a
solid retail platform in the Chicago area;
-
a
growing commercial business in the Midwest; and
-
a
state-of-the-art direct brokerage platform.
Tying
together and distinguishing our U.S. franchise is the excellent reputation
of the Harris brand. As of this quarter, in fact, all of our U.S. businesses
operate under the highly regarded Harris brand.
Today
we earn almost 30 per cent of our revenue from our U.S. franchise. As
we continue to expand and grow in the U.S. over the next five years,
we expect this proportion to grow.
Slide
3 - Successful Repositioning for Growth
As
I said, we began to reposition BMO Financial Group back in 1999. We
exited businesses that were low return or lacked scale. These included
corporate trust, global custody and our U.S. credit card business. We
dramatically reduced risk-weighted assets in our non-relationship corporate
loan book, and we sold 84 slower growth branches.
We
experienced some short-term pain as a result of this repositioning,
sacrificing revenues of over 600 million dollars per year. In the meantime,
however, we made significant investments in such areas as direct brokerage,
private banking and a new technology platform in our Canadian personal
and commercial operations.
Slide
4 - Positive Results From Strategic Shift
This
has set the stage for growth, and we’re starting to see results. BMO’s
revenue growth is above the Canadian peer group average, and we’ve effectively
managed our expenses. The result is a 28 per cent increase in earnings
per share so far this year.
This
makes five back-to-back quarters of rising earnings — a good indication
that we’re on the right track.
Given
the strong financial performance, we recently revised our guidance for
the year.
We
now anticipate earnings per share growth to be 15 to 20 per cent — that’s
up from 10 to 15 per cent. We estimate our return on equity at 15 to
16 per cent — up from 14 to 15 per cent.
Given
our favorable credit performance so far this year, we now estimate that
the annual provision for credit losses will be at or below 500 million
dollars, down from the previously reduced guidance of 600 million dollars.
However,
this doesn’t mean we shift to automatic pilot. We still have work to
do to reach our goal of top-tier performance.
Slide
5 - Steadily Improving Our Productivity Ratio
And
productivity improvement remains the top priority. In the third quarter,
the cash productivity ratio improved 550 basis points year-over-year.
Combine
this productivity performance with rising revenues and effective cost
containment, and we are confident we will reach our goal of lowering
the cash productivity ratio in each of the operating groups by 150 to
200 basis points for the year.
We
expect a similar rate of progress in improving the cost-to-revenue ratio
in each of the operating groups in 2004 and beyond.
However,
I want to be perfectly clear that this intense focus on productivity
is not about cutting costs for short-term gain. It is about becoming
better at managing both sides of the cost-to-revenue equation: generating
revenues in a much more efficient manner through vastly improved business
processes while continuing to invest in key initiatives designed to
boost revenues.
Slide
6 - Three Operating Groups
Let’s
move now from the big picture to look more closely at the performance
of our three operating groups. I’ll start with our personal and commercial
operations, looking separately at Canada and the U.S., followed by wealth
management and investment banking.
Slide
7 - Personal & Commercial: Improving Financial Performance
Altogether,
our personal and commercial operations in Canada and the U.S. have contributed
52 per cent of BMO’s earnings so far this year. We are seeing strong
results from this group with year-to-date revenue up six per cent over
the previous year. Add in expense improvements and this group posted
a net income increase of 15 per cent.
Slide
8 - P&C Canada: Enhancing the Capability of Our Distribution Network
In
Canada, we began a concerted effort about two years ago to become the
only financial services provider our customers would ever need. We are
enhancing our distribution system to make it easy for customers to bank
with us. We want to provide them with a consistent experience no matter
what channel they choose — from on-line banking to dropping in at an
in-store location while shopping for groceries.
Last
July, we announced plans to add BMO-branded in-store locations at Sobey’s
stores in Quebec, Ontario and Atlantic Canada. We find the convenience
and the extended hours of the in-store locations help solidify relationship
with existing customers. The in-stores also attract new customers: over
50 per cent of customers using an in-store location are new to BMO.
In
addition, we replaced our entire frontline customer-facing technology
platform. Through the new Pathway Connect platform, our salespeople
now have an integrated view of each customer and can tailor offerings
to specific needs. The technology also makes our salespeople more efficient
by reducing the amount of time spent on administrative work.
Employees can focus on helping customers and ultimately on improving
sales.
I
want to make a key point here: We have made these investments in our
distribution system and technology platform while, at the same time,
posting superior earnings and improving profitability.
Slide
9 - P&C Canada: Maintaining Market Share
In
terms of Canadian market share, we’re holding our own in a very competitive
market. Although we’ve shown good revenue growth relative to the other
major banks, we are really focused on growing profitable market share.
Some
competitors have grown market share through price-advantage while others
have moved aggressively in mortgage brokering. Our approach is to build
sales by deepening customer relationships. We provide our customers
with tailored solutions across a number of channels.
We
believe the significant advantages of this model include higher customer
retention, improved pricing and increased cross selling.
Slide
10 - P&C Canada: Leadership in Small Business
On
the commercial lending side, we are the leader in growing market share.
To see why, let’s look at small business banking, which is one of our
biggest successes to date.
For
over ten years we have been consistent in our commitment to this business
through good times and bad. Our customers appreciate our consistency
and the dedication we have shown to small business banking. This has
led to customer loyalty — and to a doubling of our market share for
loans up to five million dollars over the past decade.
In
the last year alone, we have increased our market share by 54 basis
points to 19.8 per cent. We are closing in on our goal of being #1 in
small business lending, and I am confident we will soon be there.
Slide
11 - P&C U.S.: Strong Platform for Growth
Let’s
turn now to our retail and business banking operations in the U.S. Harris
Bank already has one of the largest community bank networks in Illinois,
and our goal, quite simply, is to be the best and biggest retail and
business bank in Chicago.
We
have 9.1 per cent of retail deposits in the Chicago market. This makes
us one of three banks that together have a 30 per cent market share,
with the remainder dispersed among hundreds of very small competitors.
Given
its excellent reputation in the local market, Harris enjoys a well-entrenched
and well-located distribution network. It is a source of pride that
Harris Bank receives high scores in customer satisfaction, and this
remains a top priority.
Slide
12 - P&C U.S.: Continuing Strong Results
Retail
and business banking in the U.S. continues to produce encouraging results.
So far this year, earnings are up five per cent (or 15 per cent in U.S.
dollar terms), on the heels of 74 per cent growth in earnings in 2002.
These
results are driven by three factors: volume growth in both loans and
deposits; disciplined pricing decisions; and improvement in our loan-to-deposit
ratio, currently at 78 per cent.
Slide
13 - P&C U.S.: Proactive Response to New Entrants
With
eight million people and a GDP over a third that of Canada, it is true
that Chicago has been attracting the attention of several large U.S.
competitors. But we are well positioned to compete aggressively to increase
our share of this market, and we are doing just that.
Our
growth plans call for expanding our existing 145-branch distribution
network by an additional 50 branches or more. We will open new branches
and we are pursuing some small one- and two-unit banks. So far we’re
on target to open seven new branches this year and another 10 next year.
We’re also looking at the potential for slightly larger retail banking
acquisitions in Chicago and through the Midwest.
I
would add that we have a firm policy on acquisitions. All must meet
an internal rate of return requirement of 15 per cent and be cash accretive
to earnings within two to three years.
With
these new locations, together with our sales discipline, we expect to
continue generating double-digit growth in consumer loans. As the economy
improves, we also expect revenues in business banking to increase. And,
with our strong deposit base of 14 billion U.S. dollars and our relatively
low loan-to-deposit ratio, we are well positioned to fund loan growth.
Slide
14 - Wealth Management: Growth Strategy
Now
let’s turn to the second of our operating groups: wealth management.
In
Canada, we are focusing on the productivity of our distribution network
and on leveraging existing customer relationships across the enterprise
through an extensive cross-sell program.
In
the U.S., we are expanding the franchise in existing, high-growth, affluent
markets through a combination of acquisitions and organic growth. We
are primarily concentrating on markets where we have significant momentum,
including Chicago, Seattle and Arizona. As in Canada, we are leveraging
existing customer relationships through our U.S. cross-sell program.
The
cross-selling program is progressing well in Canada with nearly four
billion dollars in referral business across the enterprise so far this
year. We’re building on this success in the U.S by introducing a similar
discipline. Given that about 30 per cent of referrals lead to new business,
we’re providing incentives for employees at all levels to refer clients
to other products and services, and will include referral success in
the incentive compensation programs for both individuals and lines of
business.
Slide
15 - Wealth Management: Improving in Spite of Challenging Environment
In
spite of the challenging equity markets, we have accomplished much over
the last couple of years.
We
set out to improve productivity across all of the wealth management
businesses, and to realign our business units to ensure consistently
successful results in all market conditions. We reengineered our business
models, renegotiated external contracts, and reduced non-client-facing
positions. We increased market share.
But
the real success of our efforts over the past year is reflected in earnings
growth. Wealth management income has increased 46 per cent year to date.
Slide
16 - Wealth Management: Committed to U.S. Direct Brokerage
We
remain committed to Harrisdirect, our U.S. direct brokerage
business, but we are being smart in the way we run it.
Through
the uncertain markets of the last couple of years we have maintained
a high level of customer service. We are very encouraged that we received
a top quartile ranking by Gomez in its discount broker survey last May.
(As an aside, Gomez ranked InvestorLine #1 in Canada, as did the Globe
and Mail in its survey released earlier this month.)
While
maintaining high service levels, we have implemented important cost
containment initiatives. We charge a premium commission rate to reflect
our high level of service and high-quality research offerings. And we
have increased customer profitability by introducing a non-activity
fee.
All
this positions us well for what we believe is the beginning of a market
turnaround.
In
the third quarter we were encouraged to see the improvement in earnings
from our U.S. direct brokerage business with the recent uptick in the
market and the increase in the volume of daily trades. Regardless of
how markets behave down the road, however, we will remain focused on
managing the expense line.
Slide
17 - Investment Banking: Strategic Direction
Now
let’s take a look at the third operating group: investment banking.
Our tagline is “Innovative Thinking. Integrated Solutions.” The strategy
behind the motto is to build a full service, integrated North American
investment and corporate bank — one that will capitalize on industry
specialties and distinctive capabilities. Our aim is to provide Canadian
large corporate and U.S. mid-market clients with a coordinated approach
to raising the capital they need.
The
approach in Canada is quite different than in the U.S. In Canada we
are already recognized as a major player.
We will continue to reinforce our leading position through our
strengths — mergers and acquisitions, debt and equity underwriting,
and unparalleled research capabilities. We are very proud that Brendan
Woods recently named us #1 in research for the 23rd year
in a row.
In
the U.S., our strategy is different.
We are a mid-market firm targeting private and underserved public
companies. It is not our intention to go head-to-head against the bulge
bracket firms. Nor will we try to be all things to all clients in every
sector. Instead, we are staying focused on what we do best. That means
building on the expertise that we have developed in the mid-market through
Harris Bank. This really sets us apart from our Canada-based competitors.
Slide
18 - Investment Banking: Progress in the Midwest
We
have a highly focused approach to targeting clients in the Midwest.
Our client base is companies with revenue between 50 million and 1 billion
U.S. dollars per year. In the region, there are at least 10,000 potential
clients that meet our criteria, and collectively they spend about eight
billion dollars a year on banking-related services. So far, we have
some form of relationship with more than 1500 of them, with many of
these relationships spanning decades.
We
offer a full suite of products targeted to these companies, most of
which are privately held. Demographics suggest that 80 per cent of them
will change ownership within the next 10 years, meaning that financing
mergers and acquisitions will be very important to them. We are well
positioned to take advantage of this opportunity.
Slide
19 - Investment Banking: Gerard Klauer Mattison Rounding Out Our Offering
A
notable accomplishment for our Investment Banking Group was the acquisition
this past July of New York-based Gerard Klauer Mattison, which now operates
as Harris Nesbitt Gerard.
With
its mid-market U.S. equity research, sales and trading capabilities,
this acquisition rounds out our U.S. offering and improves our ability
to serve both Canadian and U.S. investors. We now have broader research
coverage of U.S. equities: Prior to the acquisition, we covered about
100 U.S. issuers; now we cover 300.
Slide
20 - Investment Banking: Strong Financial Performance
This
group also substantially reduced both costs and risk-weighted assets.
Together, the cost savings and the reduction in the non-relationship
portfolio contributed significantly to a 14.9 per cent cash return on
equity.
We
are confident that the Investment Banking Group will contribute significantly
to future earnings. As the economy improves, our corporate clients will
use their bank lines more often, and this too will improve profitability.
I
have been speaking about our three operating groups. Before addressing
questions, let me return to the discussion of BMO Financial Group as
a whole and two areas that are of particular interest to the investor
community: credit risk management and dividend growth.
Slide
21 - Relative Credit Advantage Continues in F2003
Credit
risk management is a hallmark of BMO Financial Group — a longtime and
ingrained competitive advantage. Our performance through the full economic
cycle has been top tier. As you can see, our provision for credit losses
has consistently been below the Canadian industry average for the past
13 years, and BMO continues to trend favorably in the most recent quarter.
Slide
22 - Strong Dividend Growth
On
the important subject of dividend growth, we recently increased the
target range for our dividend payout ratio to 35 to 45 per cent of income.
As you can see, we have increased dividends every year for the past
11 years. Last month, we extended this record with our second dividend
increase this year. This brings BMO’s dividend increase for the year
to 17 per cent, and reflects our confidence in the sustainability of
our earnings.
We
also recently announced the intention to repurchase up to 15 million
shares — or about three per cent of the public float. Our tier 1 ratio
continues to be a solid 9.2 per cent, well above our 8 per cent target.
Slide
23 - Why Buy BMO?
I’d
like to conclude my strategic overview by addressing what I suspect
is the fundamental question in the minds of most of this audience: Why
should you buy or continue to hold BMO shares?
My
short answer is that we are consistent and we are focused on a Canada-U.S.
growth strategy that is clearly working, as demonstrated by recent results.
Each
of the major banks has its own strategy for North America. Ours is built
on improved productivity, continued investment in our core Canadian
franchise, and growth and expansion in some of the most lucrative markets
in the United States.
What
differentiates us in terms of U.S. growth potential is our capacity
to achieve targeted growth from our strong Harris retail, business banking
and wealth platform; our mid-market business in the Midwest; our unparalleled
research in Canadian equity markets; and, of course, our leadership
in credit risk management.
We
are very confident in the talent and dedication of our people. We are
very excited about the opportunities we have to grow and deepen customer
relationships in both Canada and the U.S. And we will reach our goal
to be a top-tier North American bank.
Thank
you. I’d be happy to answer your questions.